Japan and the F-35: What to do?

Many critics have questioned the viability of a single engine strike aircraft that has a limited range, no ability to super-cruise, does not work well from short landing strips, and might be an overly-complex hangar queen, as the sole fighter aircraft for nations such as Australia and Canada; but what about Japan?

As more nations develop stealth fighters, then the use of radar as the main target acquisition device will be taken over by infrared, wake tracking, electro-optics, and radio/electronic chatter detection – thereby side-stepping radar stealth features – in short order.

If the F-35’s many technical problems are finally resolved and it becomes a proven combat capable aircraft, then it might be a valuable first-day-of-war weapons platform that can take out an enemy’s air defense capabilities, and decimate their command, control and communications infrastructure.

But does that meet Japan’s military doctrine? Self-defense against incursion threats from fighters, bombers, future drones, and cruise missiles will require the ability to scramble fighters that can quickly extend beyond territorial shores, and have to engage without aerial refuelers, which are a primary first attack target.

Lockheed’s F-22 Raptor is seen as the best air supremacy allied fighter, but has operational troubles requiring many maintenance hours per flight time, and is not exportable in any case. Both Australia and Japan have been firmly rebuffed in the past, but who knows what will happen if the Raptor’s cost and operational difficulties are moderated, and it becomes exportable to close allies.

The Eurofighter Typhoon is considered the next best modern and upgradable air superiority fighter, and the manufacturing consortium is seeking partners that would be fully involved in production and ongoing development, with a complete transfer of technology.

The Dassault Rafale, chosen by India as its medium fighter, is very similar, but is more of a French closed shop. It is perhaps the best omni-role fighter available right now.

Saab’s multi-role single-engine Gripen fighter is a smaller, less advanced option to the two other European competitors, but as noted in Brazil’s fighter competition, it has the best performance by cost capabilities.

A moderate-cost American replacement option for the 1960-era F-4EJ Phantom is Boeing’s F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, especially in conjunction with the electronic warfare EA-18G Growler variant. But in doing so, Japan would dedicate itself to an older technology jet that has a shortish range and does not have the performance envelope of a true superiority fighter.

Boeing has proposed a new stealthy F-15 Silent Eagle variant that may be worth investigation, but that project will need several years to yield a proven aircraft, and it will be costly, like all previous Eagles.

From a rational perspective, the JSF program (if it continues) might produce a cost-effective fighter-bomber that Japan can make use of, somewhere in the mid 2020s, but that is far too late to replace the F-4 Phantoms.

The 4-nation consortium (Britain, Germany, Italy, and Spain) that has developed the Typhoon, of which several hundred have been ordered or built, may well be the forerunner among potential competitors for an aircraft that would meet the medium-term air force needs, and provide the greatest boost to aerospace research and development, and industrial growth.

This may also prove true for Canada, when they have to re-think the JSF. This could create acquisition and production synergies between our two nations; potentially making for a consortium of several allied nations, thereby reducing costs, and increasing effectiveness.

Factor in the announcement that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will assemble a full-scale test model of the ATD-X as the basis for the fifth-generation Shinshin fighter, and future considerations become complex indeed.

Lockheed Martin and the U.S. Department of Defense have failed by a large margin to meet the program goals, especially in costs and numbers produced, for the F-22 Raptor; and it looks like the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter will follow suit. The Americans may have to skip their broad-spectrum intentions on fifth-generation fighters, and proceed on to sixth-generation technology; of both manned and unmanned varieties.

Our world has increasingly globalized over the last decades, and Japan has been one of the primary catalysts for this broadening of trade flows. Perhaps it is time to think a little more globally on military procurement, while increasing domestic technology.

In the future, Japan will still need more than one type of fighter aircraft, though air superiority will always take priority; a bit of European flavor may just enhance the American and Japanese joint-ventures that have produced the Self Defense Forces fighter aircraft, to date.

Author Infomation

Mark Miller
Mark Miller
Mark M Miller is a Vancouver-based research consultant who writes on international and military affairs. He is also a contributor to Esprit de Corps, Canada’s independent military magazine.
  • 5

    Frungy

    An excellent comparison of the strengths of existing fighter options, but I think the author nailed it when he asked, "But does that meet Japan’s military doctrine?".

    The simple answer is, "No.". Japan's military doctorine is extremely passive, and they would almost undoutedly wait until missiles or fighers had actually entered Japan's airspace before launching a counter-attack. The time taken to scramble fighters and planes would simply be too long, and the space between Japan's military airfields too far. Missiles or incoming fighters could take out conventional airfields before flights were even launched.

    Japan is currently producing some of the best drone technology in the world. Drones have several major advantages, one can keep a small "sentinel" force in the air pretty much 24/7 for a very low fuel cost because of gliding capabilities during periods of tension, their range is currently perfect for short-range self-defense, they can carry anti-missile missiles, can be launched from nearly anywhere (thus not requiring targetable facilities), are easy to move in response to threats, etc. In short, a defensive drone network would achieve much more in terms of national security than aircraft. They could also be used for policing and coastal surveillance (with an appropriate ordinace switch).

    Finally, the drones can be produced mostly in-house in Japan (an important consideration given Japan's current balance of payments problems) and Japan has an over-supply of video gamers who could pilot these things! For any number of reasons Japan should be cancelling the F-35 contract and rather looking at drone alternatives.

  • 0

    Jack Stern

    An important point for drones is that they save pilots that could be flying other combat missions.

  • 5

    napoleancomplex

    I think its about time Japan finally decided to build a Macross type of jet

  • 0

    jonobugs

    Frungy, those are excellent points. I wonder, however, if drones could be hijacked or just have the communications jammed?

  • -1

    johninnaha

    Japan doesn't need any of these planes.

    It has the U.S. military to protect it!

  • 0

    nandakandamanda

    Just one more reason, and a new chance, to pluck up courage and scrap it.

  • 0

    Frungy

    jonobugs - That concern (hijacking of drones) has been raised and is reasonable in terms of commercial drones, however with military level encryption hijacking should not be a concern (military encryption is on a par with or better than the encryption used to protect stock markets and banking transactions). I'm not really sure how drones would respond to signal jamming, but aircraft navigation and targetting systems have the same problem so the standard countermeasures should be sufficient, and worst case the drone would simply complete its last orders and then return to base. Also signal jamming over a large area across a wide signal range is incredibly difficult and expensive.

  • 1

    Okinawamike

    Japan doesn't need any of these planes

    It has the U.S. military to protect it

    Here we go again.

  • 0

    Phil Thompson

    Frungy pretty much covers it. The real question here is why did Japan say yes in the first place?

  • 0

    Dennis Bauer

    @Phil Thompson

    maybe some incentive to push the decision to a certain direction?

  • 0

    Guza!

    lol i thought japan would be be building gundams by now :P y need jets

  • 0

    Dennis Bauer

    @Guza! not Gundam's YF-21's (macross)

  • 0

    Guza!

    @Dennis LOL you mean the veritech fighters? those are cool too but giant robots = way cooler :P

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