Fast transition of power seen after Tuesday's U.S. election
WASHINGTON —
Months before Tuesday’s election, John McCain and Barack Obama were secretly planning for a job only one of them will face—transitioning their political campaigns into a governing machine.
The new president will have a transition of just 77 days from his election to his inuguration to slow the ship of state, replace thousands of government officials and chart a new course.
Since the first transition, in 1797, from president George Washington to John Adams, the peaceful handover of power has become ever more choreographed with each successive administration, especially since World War II.
But the 2009 cycle, from President George W Bush to his successor will be more fraught than usual, with the United States mired in a financial crisis and with more than 150,000 soliders in combat abroad.
“You have to go back to 1933 to find a transition as equally challenging as this one,” said Darrell West, director of Governance Studies at the Brookings Institution, citing the transfer of power to Franklin D Roosevelt during a banking crisis.
“We have a bad economy, we have two wars, basically there is no money for the new president to address the major problems.”
Unlike nations which have a permanent civil service, many top positions in the U.S. government are political appointments, meaning that whole ranks of staff are flushed out by an incoming president.
Tales are legion of aides showing up to work at the White House after the inauguration to find computers stripped of hard discs, offices with no files and no idea how to do their jobs.
President Harry Truman famously knew nothing about the nascent U.S. atomic weapons program when he assumed power after the death of Roosevelt in 1945.
Whoever wins in Tuesday’s election will move quickly to put the key elements of their governing team in place.
“Right after the election, you would expect, particularly if it is Barack Obama, a decision making team in place,” said Martha Kumar, a political science professor at Towson University, who has studied presidential transitions.
That would include a White House chief of staff, personnel director, a presidential legal counsel, a press team, national security advisers, National Economic Council officials and a budget director, she said.
It is thought likely that Obama would also act quickly to appoint a Secretary of Defense—Bush’s Pentagon chief Robert Gates has been mentioned as a candidate—and Treasury Secretary.
Given the financial turmoil McCain would also be expected to put together an economic team quickly to calm roiled stock markets.
In all, president-elects have the power to appoint around 7,000 people to serve in their administration—but tend to concentrate at first on just a few hundred crucial posts.
If Obama wins, he is likely to find it easier to get key officials quickly cleared through Senate confirmation, with Democrats in control on Capitol Hill than McCain who could see key personnel challenged by the rival party.
Such is the complicated nature of presidential transitions that both candidates have been preparing for months—though in secrecy so as not to appear to be prejudging the election.
John Podesta, once White House chief of staff for President Bill Clinton, heads the Obama transition team, sketching transition plans and vetting potential candidates for top government jobs.
Democrats have bad memories of the chaotic Clinton transition in 1992-93, which left the administration floundering in its first few months in office.
McCain’s transition pointman is former Reagan administration Navy secretary John Lehman, who may seek to emulate the highly efficient Bush effort during the 2000-2001 transition which was truncated by the Florida recount debacle.
U.S. government departments have also been getting ready for months—for the first wartime change of presidents for 40 years, which has sparked fears that U.S. enemies might try to exploit the situation.
Gates has spoken of the need for a smooth handover, and to find a way to get top national security nominees security clearances as quickly as possible.
Bush requested $8.5 million in funding from his 2009 budget for the transition, which will see the president elect’s team given office space in Washington DC.
Soon after election day, the White House will offer briefings and other help to the top aides of the president-elect and members of the winner’s press operation have been invited to shadow members of Bush’s spokespeople.
Wire reports








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56 Comments
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SuperLib
Hey, I donated money to Obama. What do I get for that? There must be some little known office somewhere that I can head up.
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Nessie
=shredding of paper
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yabits
If President Obama's team runs the transition the way he has run his campaign, it will be the smoothest, most skillful handover in the history of the United States.
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ImperiumMundi
what part will the thousands of foreign donors to his campaign play?
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bamboohat
Yabits: We'll see if he can walk the walk as skillfully as he talked the talk...
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yabits
Managing a campaign team is a lot more than talking the talk. Besides, a lot has to do with setting reasonable expectations.
It was because the Republicans could not walk the walk that the one of the most liberal members of the US Senate is getting this shot at the highest office in the land. Those Republicans who have any class will wish President Obama well, just as I'll wish President McCain well should the odds be defeated tomorrow.
The next president has a helluva mess to deal with after all that Bush has done.
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yabits
You mean expatriot Americans? What part should they play?
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Sarge
SuperLib: "Hey, I donated money to Obama. What do I get for that?"
Four years of disaster, if he wins.
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namabiru4me
If Obama is a disaster, it will be easier to take than McCain's 4 years of disaster.
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Sarge
Obama's disaster would be far worse than a McCain presidency.
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namabiru4me
How can Obama be worse than the same policies of Bush? -The economy actually contracted in the last three months. -The United States has lost jobs for nine straight months with Bush with the worst job creation record since the Great Depression.
Bush has done everything that McCain has on his agenda!
Not to mention that he is a puppet to the party, thus Palin.
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smithinjapan
sarge: "Obama's disaster would be far worse than a McCain presidency."
Not that you will admit it, but it'll be a good thing that you'll never have to find out about what a McCain presidency will mean, since Obama's got it in the bag. You'll diss Obama as much as you can, but inside you'll all be thanking your lucky stars for saving them and the stripes to boot.
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yabits
Amazing. All those tax cuts never had the touted trickle-down effect. Not to mention the runaway government spending (which Bush promised would not happen).
I believe that Bill Clinton would have balanced the federal budget even if he had a Democratic majority to work with in Congress. Although it may take at least six years to turn the thing around, Barack Obama will get the chance to prove that the Democrats can get things done.
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Sarge
"Obama's got it in the bag"
With all this money Obama's been raisin', maybe he can send a bag full over to his poor aunt living in a Boston slum.
"the Democrats can get things done"
Yeah, they can raise taxes and spend money like nobody's business.
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usaexpat
If Obama wins we'll get to see what he's really made of. I predict a 1 term dismal administration ala Jimmy Carter but we'll see.
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Simon_Foston
It would make a change from cutting taxes and still spending money like nobody's business. But you seem to have conveniently forgotten that the people getting tax hikes are the ones that can afford them. Pick whatever faults you like with Obama's plans for tax cuts (what is it that you keep going on about, "how can 95% of American workers get tax cuts when 40% of them aren't paying taxes" or something like that), the fact is that cuts are on the agenda and they will be aimed at helping the disadvantaged rather than mega-rich Republican campaign donors. And quite frankly, if someone's whining about having to pay extra taxes while they can pay off a mortgage on a big house, send their kids to college, keep a couple of cars running and still put aside some money, screw 'em. In Japan there are elderly couples starving to death. A bit of wealth redistribution doesn't sound bad to me, it might stop a lot of that messed-up stuff from happening.
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yabits
We Americans understand how there are those who pretend they are patriotic and yet are not-so-silently hoping that President Obama will be dismal or a disaster.
I can assure the doubters that competent leadership restored to the White House will be a refreshing change.
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JohnBecker
Yeah, they can raise taxes and spend money like nobody's business.
Hm. Definitely a change from the Bush administration, which cut taxes for the rich and then spent unlike any other administration in history.
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ca1ic0cat
If President Obama's team runs the transition the way he has run his campaign, it will be the smoothest, most skillful handover in the history of the United States.
Unfortunately he isn't going to have the budget for the office that he did for the campaign unless he resorts to printing money.
Of course that applies to McCain as well.
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YangYong
Now that nowhere man, that awful administration is out of the door, he should be moved into a tent in the gardens so President Obama can commence with a sane stewardship of the US.
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bamboohat
wow, guys not in office already, and you are already making excuses for why he can't have a successful first term....
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USAFdude
bamboohat - no excuses needed. bush has so harmed - or better put, nearly destroyed - the USA, it'll take the next five presidents to fix it. As proud as I am of President Obama, I do feel a little pity for him, given the horrifying situation left to him by bush, but I feel a great swell of pride at his willingness to step up to the plate.
Tall order, taking over from bush - sorta like rebuilding Hiroshima and Nagasaki after the blasts.
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Sarge
Simon - "you seem to have conveniently forgotten that the people getting tax hikes are the ones that can afford them"
You seem to have conveniently forgotten that successful people who provide jobs for others should not be punished for their success.
USAFdude - "bush as so harmed - or better put, nearly destroyed - the USA"
Yeah, the USA is just a shell of the great country it once was. It's a real mystery as to why all these people are STILL trying to get Green Cards.
"President Obama"
Not yet. Maybe not ever.
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USAFdude
"President Obama"
No doubt about it.
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Simon_Foston
Now correct me if I'm mistaken, but hasn't the unemployment rate been going up? This from the US Department of Labor:
I don't see much success there.
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skipthesong
conveniently forgotten that the people getting tax hikes are the ones that can afford them" and I think you have forgotten that there aren't enough of those people. Add that to having loop holes, and even moderate deductions, his plan is not going to work word for word. Even his staff is setting up a task force of sorts to level out unreachable expectations.
Tall order, taking over from bush - sorta like rebuilding Hiroshima and Nagasaki after the blasts." I think many have over estimated this situation. Sometimes its best to start from scratch again. If people can be patient, things may work out for the best.
With the lead Obama has at the moment I think its rather moot to compare McCain and him. If McCain pulls out today, does that mean Obama wins by default or are we seriously counting other parties votes at all?
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cleo
Since when did taxes become a 'punishment'? A country needs taxes to function. Paying your fair share of running costs is not 'punishment'. You'd think all those successful people waving 'Country First' placards at the political rallies would be happy and eager to pay their taxes instead of whingeing about how successful they are and therefore shouldn't have to pay. (topsy-turvy thinking if you ask me.)
America, a major debtor nation, currently has two elective wars that need paying for, and a national debt that is at a 50-year high. I do not understand all this talk (on both sides) of cutting taxes. Doesn't America need to raise taxes in order to pay its way?
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ImperiumMundi
another non-American who is clueless about the the United States' present tax system.
the top ten percent in the US pay something like 70 percent of taxes.
there are 40 percent 'at the bottom' who pay no taxes and yet are allowed to vote on, among other things, how the more productive or gifted are to be taxed.
liberals like to jawbone about a more progressive tax system, 'economic justice' and code words like obama's 'redistrubutive change.'
it's bunk.
the United States of America has the most progressive tax system in the world:
"...But a new study on inequality by researchers at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in Paris reveals that when it comes to household taxes (income taxes and employee social security contributions) the U.S. "has the most progressive tax system and collects the largest share of taxes from the richest 10% of the population.""
http://www.taxfoundation.org/blog/show/23856.html
Moderator: All readers back on topic please. The subject is the transition of power.
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USAFdude
That's the true wild card, here. President Obama could do some great things as long as people don't expect him to magically cure America's ills in one day.
Our country got in the condition it's in over eight long, terrible years of the GW Bush administration. That's gonna take a long time to fix.
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ImperiumMundi
given the current economic climate i find it disturbing that in preparing for a transition of power obama is reportedly telling staffers to read up and study fdr and his '100 days'. especially in light of a lot of recent economic research purporting to show fdr's economic policies prolonged the great depression. like obama he was in the habit of doing what investors react most negatively to - making sudden and erratic policy change.
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cleo
IM -
Actually I wasn't speculating at all about the tint of your skin or the details of your birth - just trying to show that your views as you express them here are over a century out of date.
Maybe in order to avoid his mistakes?
Simon -
You don't really expect such a sensible idea to have any traction, do you?
:-)
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Sarge
After Obama loses, he's going to spend the next four years positioning himself for a 2012 run. I'll bet the Democrats nominate him again:
Presidential Debate 2012:
Democrat nominee Obama: You had nothing to do with this economic recovery, and it would have been even more robust if I'd been president these past four years.
Republican nominee Palin: Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!
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Simon_Foston
Sounds like you're envisaging another fast transition of power. You don't expect Mr. McCain to be able to stand for re-election in 2012, then?
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skipthesong
Our country got in the condition it's in over eight long, terrible years of the GW Bush administration." Ah, but those of us who made money made out. I however credit both Regan and Clinto more than I did Bush however.
as long as people don't expect him to magically cure America's ills in one day. " Well, you just excluded about 90% of voters for either McCain, Obama or any other leading politician. Congress has an even lower approval rate than that of GWB yet they are going to remain and run things as well... This transisition, while many are cheering for how swift don't relize there isn't going to be that much shuffling around.
Well in that case, how about some coherent policies to get these people off the bottom so they can start paying taxes like everyone else?" And just how is that supposed to get accomplished? No one is even talking about fixing the education system, which was not made any worse by Bush mind you. How are people going to move up?
A transistion folks is nothing more than the boss putting in those who he likes, not those who can actually do something. The entire US government payroll is made of of people who know someone who knows someone. Sorry if I offend that I have zero faith in the US government at the moment, but I have had that feeling since I was able to talk.
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CaptainUSA
Sarge- Obama shall NOT win, do not despair. He will NOT be allowed to set foot in rthe White House.
There will not be a fast transisition , there will be bclaims , counter claims, lawsuits and more.
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skipthesong
Sarge- Obama shall NOT win, do not despair." Why do you say despair? Both he and McCain are nothing more than the political machine of Washington who are BOTH doing their best to have control over us.
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Sarge
From the article: "We have a bad economy, we have two wars, basically there is no money for the new president to address the major problems"
But Obama has promised to fix them.
All hail the Redistributioner-in-Chief!
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Sarge
Skip - While you're right about Obama doing his best to have control over us, you are as wrong about McCain. He is doing his best to EMPOWER us, not control us.
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USAFdude
I sure hope you didn't mean that as a threat, son, particularly for YOUR sake. Ever heard of the Secret Service?
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Sarge
Dude - Calm down! The Cap'n is just saying he hopes Obama will lose.
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Simon_Foston
Ah, but read the second bit.
i.e. We'll get 2000 in Florida-style shenanigans as the Republicans cry foul in any State that Obama wins by a narrow margin. But the latest pundit to predict victory for Obama? Karl Rove. See http://www.rove.com/election. Personally, if I were a McCain supporter I wouldn't be too happy to see that kind of thing.
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CaptainUSA
I am the real military dude, who knows that an Obama win would cause chaos and the downfall of American society as we know it.
A McCain win, is the only route to mainatin stability.
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Simon_Foston
Sounds like quite a good description of the last eight years.
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CaptainUSA
Simon Foston- for those in the know., the wheels are in motion to prevent a disaster for our great nation. All voter frauds amnd illegals trying to vote will be highlighted. Obama will NEVER set foot in the White House. The power of the nation is in the hands of the wise not the fools like Obama and his ilk.
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Simon_Foston
The Republicans kept kind of quiet about all that stuff in 2000 and 2004 as it worked out okay for them. If there's any messing around this time, I'm guessing Obama can probably afford better lawyers than McCain. Also, if there is any doubt as to the outcome, doesn't the 12th Amendment state that the House of Representatives chooses the President? Can't see a Democratic majority going for McCain, somehow.
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USAFdude
I'm real US military as well, and frankly, your pathetic attempts to smear that don't change that. Obama's gonna be our new C-in-C, so you'd best get ready to follow his orders. We were forced to put with bush's orders for eight long horrible years; either follow your new C-in-C's (that'd be President Obama) orders or get out of my military, "sir".
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CaptainUSA
The only fast transition will be a Republican victory, which is looking quite possible at present.
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Simon_Foston
It's not looking quite so possible any more.
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