nigelboy's past comments

  • -1

    nigelboy

    The most obvious, crystal clear example of "pitiful" immigration level is Japan`s acceptance of 11 refugees out of 5000 applicants last year. You can dance around that figure any way you like -the percentage speaks for itself.

    Discussed here.

    http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/as-europe-opens-its-doors-japan-considers-clamping-down-harder-on-asylum-seekers#comment_2053245

    Vast majority of them doesn't even qualify as 'refugee' under the definition set forth by 1951 or 1967 Protocol.

    Yes, but accepted refugees do count as immigrants in their new countries, don`t they? If you have figures for other immigration to Japan handy ( ie. skilled visas, family reunion, etc..) please do share, I,d wager that they are way lower as % of Japan,s population than pretty much most other developed countries.

    And your point being what? Why are you bringing the failed immigration policy of the developed countries into mix is beyond me.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -4

    nigelboy

    was pointing out to the well known phenomenon of papers supporting LDP view of things often being published by independent "experts" who on closer examination just happen to be on the receiving end of one or more of many kinds of grants , sponsorships, job offers etc. that LDP dishes out. It might or might not be the case with the author of the article you linked but being an AP at the fine institution of Wayo Women,s University in Ichikawa does not make her a renowned authority on the topic ( especially as it was pointed out by another poster with her paper not being peer reviewed or scrutinized its value is virtually zilch ).

    But she proved to be right. Implementing child allowance and cutting government sponsored/funded projects (事業仕分け)in which your hero Renho was in charge of failed for she's still busy defending her own actions on her twitter account.

    Indeed there are no easy solutions , but since you discount financial incentives to families and reject immigration what magic sundbite idea is the LDP gonna come up with to improve the rate to 1.8? Yes, many developed nations are facing the same issue but virtually all of them be they in Europe , N.America , Asia or Oceania have immigration higher than the pitiful level here in Japan. Its Japan govt,s perogative to not accept immigrants or offer increased financial incentives for child rearing of course but then stop selling the pigs will fly idea of magically raising the birthrate / stabilizing population level without any concrete policies.

    There is no such things is "pititiful level' when it comes to immigration numbers for the higher the amount simply indicates that some nations have absolutely very little control of the situation as evidenced by recent European nations with their divided populations within their own boundaries.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -1

    nigelboy

    You are the one who said no one was going to produce a serious paper about a DPJ govt. child allowance policy, btw which LDP linked body or an individual ( naturally claiming to be impartial ) produced the paper you quote? Please let us know their credentials since we can`t all comprehend economic analysis papers in Japanese the same way you do.

    LDP linked? Since when does a paper that verifies the macro/micro effects of child allowance automatically becomes LDP linked?

    Her brief credentials.

    https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%97%A4%E4%B8%B8%E9%BA%BB%E7%B4%80 <http://www.wayo.ac.jp/academics/teacher/int_soc/tabid/415/Default.aspx

    So since LDP won`t solve the problem with increased immigration and you blast increased child payment initiatives -what magic exactly do you suggest Abe will use to get to his target? The kicker is you defend LDP policies current , past or future unreservedly regardless of their flaws , precisely only because they came from LDP.

    Well certainly not immigration nor child allowance as indicated by the macro/micro effects. It's a difficult issue where there are no easy solutions as evidenced by developed nations' not even achieving the replacement rate.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -2

    nigelboy

    Lol...good to know you use and obscure " non serious " paper link as a basis for your argument then.

    Obscure? No. It's conscise and well written. Of course, one thing to do is to dismiss them when you can't comprehend it.

    However immigration is precisely the one thing that the J- govt is even more averse to than increasing the child rearing benefits ( heaven forbid it might take away from funds to throw trillions after the hopeless farming sector, increased defence spending, white elephant project pork and other LDP favourites) isn't, it.....oh sorry I forgot they will be allowing in a few dozen housekeepers soon ( as long as they can pass a test to demonstrate special ability to use ingredients commonly used in J. household kitchens that are so different from rest of the world, of course :-) Which is almost as funny as your unwavering resolve to defend LDP and their policies no matter how much of a failure they are. But yeah, I'm sure Abe,s magic yet to materialise policy to improve the birthrate will be successful. Just like that mythical , evasive 3rd arrow.

    The failure in your suggestion is that you try to solve this problem with immigration which is essentially equivalent to signing up for a new credit card and drawing money from it. The reason why I defend the current policies is because people like you don't have one yet continually lambast simply because it's LDP.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -1

    nigelboy

    With any survey, beware the methodology. How many people were surveyed? Were the questions subjective, or do they serve a particular agenda.

    It's all there. I doubt you can classify the questions to be subjective. It's pretty straight forward to me.

    The honourable Minister's "majority of people" refers to 1,944 respondents (interestingly, 3,600 people were surveyed for the same poll 16 years ago).

    Do you really think the percentage will fluctuate to your liking if they managed to survey mire people?

    Posted in: Since a majority of the public says capital punishment is unavoidable, it is not appropriate to abandon the system.

  • 0

    nigelboy

    Actually yes, there is no law "defacto" otherwise that has life without parole. He'll get parole.

    What part of "less than half a percent" do you not understand? To make it simple, that's one out of 200. What makes you so sure that this particular individual "get parole"?

    Posted in: Man who stabbed woman to death because he 'wanted to kill someone' gets life in prison

  • -1

    nigelboy

    So, consider this. Across virtually the entire developed country universe in the post-WW2 time period, what have been the trends? The trends have been exactly this: populations becoming more affluent, becoming more educated, less religious, more urban concentrated, and with greater access to birth control.

    Good points zones2surf.

    One thing to add is the global trend of women having careers where they choose to have children in later years or not at all. Pretty much most all of developed nations have a fertility rate below the replacement rate (2.1) and to those nations who are on the fringe of it, studies shows that these are attributed to immigrants from developing nations who statistically have higher fertility rates. In other words, those developed nations who has increased in population is due to most exclusively immigration or indirect affects of it.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • 1

    nigelboy

    Probably a poor translation as well. I have never heard anyone, ever people who support it, say capital punishment is "unavoidable." Out of context, the statement is just bizarre.

    The term used is "やむを得ない”

    http://www.moj.go.jp/content/000053168.pdf

    http://survey.gov-online.go.jp/h21/h21-houseido/images/z02.gif

    85.6% in the latest survey.

    Posted in: Since a majority of the public says capital punishment is unavoidable, it is not appropriate to abandon the system.

  • -7

    nigelboy

    China’s application that the “comfort women” story

    "Story". Or great. Recent and tertiary source to be applied for documentary heritage.

    Posted in: China debuts film on its last surviving 'comfort women' at Busan festival

  • -2

    nigelboy

    What international media did you see?

    CNN, BBC, Faux, MSNBC.

    The Japanese laureates were extensively covered on BBC. And good to see S. Alexievich was featured on nhk. Missed it. What program was that?

    News on mornings and nights on NHK.

    http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20151009/k10010264021000.html

    And I stand by my assertion that the general coverage given here ( here - because we are here), esp prime time popular media, is shallow, lowbrow and contrived to elicit wows & tears from the circus galleries.

    Actually, NHK news has the highest rating among news.

    Posted in: Nobel Literature prize again eludes Japan's hope, Haruki Murakami

  • -5

    nigelboy

    It's not because you linked an obscure paper that you can think that what it says is correct or that it reflects any accurate science. This paper makes not only little sense to most of people in this thread but it is moreover written in Japanese and therefore is not peer-reviewed for publication in any serious international journal. Which means its validity is totally nil.

    Sorry if the contents upsets you but no one is going to write a serious international paper about the effects of child allowance macro and micro economic effects of the child allowance implemented by then Democratic Party of Japan.

    Now concerning the effect of increasing child allowance, it can't be negative if implemented well. France or any north European countries where child allowance is very generous have proven that it works, not only for child birth rate but also for the economy as higher child birth rate is considered to be an important asset of a country for its economical growth and sustainability. This is documented in numerous international studies, and I invite you to look by yourself for some of them instead. It won't hurt you to look outside a little bit

    You could cite one for starters but in this paper, although it mentions the increase in consumption of child related matters, it shows no effect on the increase in birth rate.

    Also note that of course child allowance didn't work in japan so far, it's because it's poorly implemented since it's not backed up with real social policies for women and for families. It's really not rocket science. Germany is also another example where poor social policies have negative effects on birth rate even with more (than Japan) generous child allowance.

    What is this 'real social policies' you speak of and how much of a cost we're talking about to implement such policies to both public and private sectors? Isn't it time you stop being vague about it and be specific?

    Concerning the fact that "decreasing government consumption and public works project" have negative effect on economy (micro, macro, whatever), this is a joke right? This just illustrates more that the paper you linked is a farce. Japan for this regard is a perfect example that blindness public works policies are catastrophic for a country (the concept of "government consumption project" in itself making little sense so I leave it aside).

    No. The paper actually covers the extraction of mulitiplier effect if those are cut. To put it simply, the spending of public works is distributed to private sectors who work on them and their employees who are essentially consumers just like you and I. This also is the same for government workers who are also consumers. Your simple minded assumption that the money spend by the government evaporates or worse yet, counts in the separate balance ledger is the reason why you think it's a 'farce'. This is typical from people who have no clue as to what GDP comprises of.

    Japan politicians have been stupidly following this policy since the bubble collapse in order to bring the country out of economical stagnation and it never, never worked. The only thing that the old boys of the LDP achieved to do is building an immense public debt that the young generations has and will have to deal with for the decades to come. How dear can you claim that decreasing public works project have negative effect while on the contrary a economical policy entirely based on this mindset has ruined the country? This baffles the mind. You can also find numerous international studies and documentaries about Japan lost decades and the reasons of it. Please go to look at them.

    Refer to my previous paragraph to start. As to the public works project or government investment, the figure was 32 trillion yen in 2001 to just under 16 trillion yen in 2011. Was there anything positive that came out? What baffles my mind is that you think such spending simply goes down the toilet where the money disappears into thin air when it's actually the opposite where the deflator index improves and the mulitiplier effect increases the GDP.

    As to rest of your paragraphs, it's nothing more than typical LDP bashing completely ignoring that during their initial 30 year post war tenure, Japan transformed herself to the economic power house from developing nation to a developed nation where they still remain the only Asian nation to represent G7.

    Your suggestions are, as expected, vague in nature. "Needs social reforms" is no better than Abe's slogans that you criticize.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -3

    nigelboy

    I didn't see too many (any) congratulatory messages on the popular news programs to Svetlana Alexievich or the other laureates. Better such programs focus on the Rugby World cup

    Didn't see that much of the coverage of Japanese Laureates in overseas coverage either other than a brief mention of the name. As to Ms. Alexievich, she was featured exclusively on a segment in this morning's NHK news.

    Posted in: Nobel Literature prize again eludes Japan's hope, Haruki Murakami

  • -6

    nigelboy

    Nigelboy - no I don't have the numbers calculated and ready to say as much but how much is spent on pork barrel " stimulation packages " and such..best way to stimulate economy in the future is to have more consumers , and since LDP is deaf to suggestions of immigration ( with the token pitiful exceptions of housekeepers, a few nurses and a legion of underpaid farm trainees "...well, then...

    You don't? The paper I linked indicates the negative net macro economic effect of increasing child allowance and decreasing government consumption and public works project. (just read the conclusion on the last page).

    And let's face it, it didn't for fertility rate didn't rise.

    Handouts don't work - well the $5000 baby bonus in Australia for each child certainly did work

    Japan also has birth payment. 出産育児一時金

    But I,m sure LDP would.much prefer to spend funds on supporting it's cronies, farmers and the rest rather than spend funds and implement any meaningful strategies to actually raise the birthrate. That Abe assigned not a woman but a 60 year old oyaji to be in charge of raising the birth rate and women's empowerment speaks volumes about LDP,s attitude. It's a joke.

    You were doing so well then you resort to usual Abe and LDP bashing.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -6

    nigelboy

    Why not, the total would probably still be substantially lower amount than what the govt. wastes on pork barrel projects to " "stimulate economy" and other administrative waste.

    I'm sure you have all the numbers calculated so enlighten me. DPJ implemented the allowance and based on the below paper, it failed macro and micro.

    https://wayo.repo.nii.ac.jp/index.php?action=pages_view_main&active_action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=1047&item_no=1&attribute_id=22&file_no=1&page_id=35&block_id=44

    Hand outs don't work.

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -8

    nigelboy

    You want more people to feel childrearing is rewarding... Then pay new mums a baby birth bonus say 100 man and double the child support... But of course blue blood politicians on salaries 10 times the average wage have no clue about the financial struggles of lower to middle class raising kids... Just lip service.

    How about 200 man and triple the monthly allowance!!!!??

    Posted in: New cabinet minister seeks to stem shrinking population

  • -1

    nigelboy

    Assertion? Facts, and Magnus was kind enough to find you one link explaining it. Currently there is no law allowing "life without parole"

    Actually no. Your assertion that he'll be out by the age of 50's is also wrong.

    http://www.geocities.jp/masakari5910/satsujinjiken_muki_keiki.html

    There are 1843 "life imprisonment" and less than half a percent gets out on parole. Don't know where Magnus Roe got an average of 35 years before parole hearing but if he/she is basing on the average length time of imprisonment as a basis, it's deceiving since prisoners during the term dies. As far as Muki Choeki is concerned, it's a defacto life in prison with harsh labor without parole.

    Posted in: Man who stabbed woman to death because he 'wanted to kill someone' gets life in prison

  • 1

    nigelboy

    Garbage. Show me ONE significant purchase of Toyota vehicles for use in the mid-East by ANY U.S. governmental body. The fact is Japan Inc. does not care one bit what your political or religious persuasion is, so long as you have cash. Notice Toyota does not deny the implication, all they are committing to is:

    Toyota Tacoma's were used in Operation Iraqi Freedom

    "Army Special Forces also used a number of Toyota Tacomas and Land Rover Defenders in northern and western Iraq during the initial stages of Operation Iraqi Freedom. These were fitted with mounts for M240s and MK-19 grenade launchers. Delta Force, as part of Task Force 20, also fielded a number of NSTVs, mostly Land Rover Defenders during the invasion phase of the conflict. Later, they would source a range of local vehicles for use on covert operations."

    http://www.americanspecialops.com/vehicles/nstv/

    The fact is Japan Inc. does not care one bit what your political or religious persuasion is, so long as you have cash.

    I doubt that there is a requirement to fill out your political and religious persuasion on the purchase agreement but perhaps that's not the case in U.S.? Or are you suggesting that these ISIL fighters filled out "ISIL" as their occupation on the initial application and Toyota knew about it?

    Yeah, right! Just like they were committed to complying with the U.S. inquiry into unintended acceleration. LOL.

    They did. After lengthy investigation, NHTSA

    "NASA engineers found no electronic flaws in Toyota vehicles capable of producing the large throttle openings required to create dangerous high-speed unintended acceleration incidents."

    Posted in: Why do extremists drive Toyotas? asks U.S.

  • 0

    nigelboy

    You said ALL great athletes in regard to arrogance. Don't backtrack aga

    I didn't. I qualified the initial statement with "who most of them". I subsequently stated that "many" play waaaay past their "mediocre' years.

    Posted in: Ichiro signs $2 million, 1-year deal to remain with Marlins

  • 0

    nigelboy

    Since nigelboy has brought in the Hyundai analogy into the discussion

    I brought Hyundai and it's liberal financing standards versus that of BMW and it's consertative financing analogy. Hence, your comparison is moot. Gyopo's got some serious complexes.

    Posted in: Indonesia defends rail project after Japan expresses anger

  • 0

    nigelboy

    Is the Japanese Supreme Court going to rule on these laws. Someone please sue.

    First, it has to get a ruling on the district court.

    http://www.sankei.com/affairs/news/151008/afr1510080031-n1.html

    LOL. Didn't even get to first base.

    I,d love to see someone like Renho at the helm but unfortunately the J-politics old boy network doesnt seem ready to accept a woman leader on either side yet.

    http://www-sk.icrr.u-tokyo.ac.jp/whatsnew/new-20091127.html

    Renho tried to cut the budget expense for Super Kamiokande which was headed by recently awarded Nobel Prize scientist Takaaki Kajita.

    Too much damage as a result of her being charge of 事業仕分け (expense cuts) which she's still deperately defending on her twitter. The day DPJ appoints her to be the face of the party is when they have become absolutely irrelevant like Mizuho Fukushima days of SDP.

    Posted in: We now have laws that are unconstitutional. To fix this problem, we must oust the Abe administration.

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